Table 1 Number of educational institutions and students
Years
|
Number of educatio-nal institutions |
Students- total, thous. |
Including students in departments |
Per 10000 population had students |
|||
Full-time |
Part-time |
Distance |
External studies |
||||
1914 |
72 |
86,5 |
86,5 |
- |
- |
- |
10 |
1917 |
150 |
149 |
149 |
- |
- |
- |
16 |
1927 |
90 |
114,2 |
114,2 |
- |
- |
- |
14 |
1940/41 |
481 |
478,1 |
335,1 |
15 |
128 |
- |
43 |
1950/51 |
516 |
796,7 |
502,6 |
17 |
277,1 |
- |
77 |
1960/61 |
430 |
1496,7 |
699,2 |
167,6 |
629,9 |
- |
124 |
1970/71 |
457 |
2671,7 |
1296,5 |
389,8 |
985,4 |
- |
204 |
1980/81 |
494 |
3045,7 |
1685,6 |
401 |
959,1 |
- |
219 |
1990/91 |
514 |
2824,5 |
1647,7 |
284,5 |
892,3 |
- |
190 |
1995/96 |
762 |
2790,7 |
1752,6 |
174,8 |
855,8 |
7,5 |
188 |
2000/01 |
965 |
4741,4 |
2625,2 |
302,2 |
1761,8 |
52,2 |
324 |
2002/03 |
1039 |
5947,5 |
3104 |
346 |
2399,9 |
97,6 |
410 |
2003/04 |
1044 |
6455,7 |
3276,6 |
351,3 |
2703,7 |
124,1 |
448 |
2004/05 |
1071 |
6884,2 |
3433,5 |
361,8 |
2942,5 |
146,4 |
480 |
2005/06 |
1068 |
7064,6 |
3508 |
371,2 |
3032 |
153,4 |
495 |
2006/07 |
1090 |
7309,8 |
3582,1 |
372,3 |
3195,9 |
159,6 |
514 |
2007/08 |
1108 |
7461,3 |
3571,3 |
352,9 |
3367,9 |
169,2 |
525 |
2008/09 |
1134 |
7513,1 |
3457,2 |
343,7 |
3540,7 |
171,5 |
529 |
2009/10 |
1114 |
7418,8 |
3280 |
323,6 |
3639,2 |
175,9 |
523 |
According to Table 2.1 shows that the number of educational institutions has been increasing since 2000, and currently the figure is 1,114 establishments.
At the same time began to increase and the number of students, and by 2010 it is 7,418,800 people.
If we consider the number of students in departments, we can conclude that most students are enrolled at the correspondence department.
The lowest index is in the Department of External Studies.
The method of smooth level is leveling some dynamics in two ways:
1. By the average absolute growth:
= У0 + t
- aligned (estimated) value of the analyzed factor;
У0 - entry-level series of dynamics;
- average absolute growth;
t - serial number of the year.
2. by the average growth coefficient:
= У0 * к t
к - average growth coefficient.
In our case, the equation of a trend by the average absolute growth will be:
= 150+57,9t.
A trend equation by the average growth coefficient is as follows:
= 150*1,164 t
According to these equations hold alignment.
Table 2 Alignment of a number of dynamics at the average absolute growth and average growth coefficient
Years |
Students of all, thous. per. |
Y=150+57,9t |
Y=150*1,164t |
1917 |
150 |
207,9 |
174,6 |
1927 |
90 |
265,8 |
203,2 |
1940/41 |
481 |
323,7 |
236,6 |
1950/51 |
516 |
381,6 |
275,4 |
1960/61 |
430 |
439,5 |
320,5 |
1970/71 |
457 |
497,4 |
373,1 |
1980/81 |
494 |
555,3 |
434,3 |
1990/91 |
514 |
613,2 |
505,5 |
1995/96 |
762 |
671,1 |
588,4 |
2000/01 |
965 |
729 |
684,9 |
2002/03 |
1039 |
786,9 |
797,2 |
2003/04 |
1044 |
844,8 |
928 |
2004/05 |
1071 |
902,7 |
1080,1 |
2005/06 |
1068 |
960,6 |
1257,3 |
2006/07 |
1090 |
1018,5 |
1463,5 |
2007/08 |
1108 |
1076,4 |
1703,5 |
2008/09 |
1134 |
1134,3 |
1982,9 |
2009/10 |
1114 |
1192,2 |
2308 |
The data is obtained, we construct the graph. It is represented in Figure 1.